Just perhaps a couple of quick thoughts. Tim:- to answer your question about effects over time... generally speaking things very quickly settled down fine from the start and not got worse. SO FAR... However, I did have a number of chairs come un-stuck at Scale forum (which caused Colin's 4 SUB to derail - a previously unknown thing!) Fixed in seconds luckily. I don't know why they chose that moment to let go, but it was warm in there at that time.
The only thing which has got worse is the tendency of flexi track - used on the cassettes - to progressively tighten to guage. I have established that the stuff was OK to start with and I think this problem is due to me using "super-glue" to stick it down. I was with a mate this weekend and he uses double sided tape for the same job. I think that is both a cheaper and a less risky solution.
Given that your case was not related to the type of guage, and given Colin's observation, I am wondering if the gauge narrowing is actually a symptom of the longitudinal expansion of the rail resulting in a buckle - not enough to "burst" the chairs, but enough to distort them.
Here is an example:-

- Expansion effect.jpg (44.44 KiB) Viewed 5863 times
I had this happen to me before I fully fixed all the chairs - it is easy to imagine that if the chairs had been fixed, there would have been a fair amount of stress involved - perhaps easily enough to push the gauge about!
In this case, I had broken my own rule about never having a single length of rail longer than about 420mm, and needless to say, rework was needed. Even if the rail is in short enough lengths, it is easy to allow insufficient expansion gap. I know Tony Wilkins follows a policy of never more than a scale 120ft length of rail for the same reason - he uses rivets of course and has found that the soldered joints tend to fail at the ends of longer lengths. Of course if you use soldered construction, by definition the rail is warm when it goes down. Not so chaired construction.
I wonder if it was a bit chilly when you cut your rails to length?
Just in this recent hot spell, I did have one expansion related issue - a length of conductor rail suddenly let go - it was held down by means of a soldered connection to a brass C&L "pot" and the soldered joint failed - obviously, I should have gapped the conductor rail also. Bear in mind Miories lives in a loft and it does get both hot and cold up there!
The more I think about it, I tend to think that expansion of the rail is a more likely cause than either the chairs or the ply, notwithstanding all our various and valid comments above.
Best wishes,